Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.979607 2.065195 2.153454 2.251491 2.357605 2.469292 2.596116
2025-12-07 1.805577 1.922841 2.048284 2.193239 2.357133 2.537912 2.754115
2025-12-14 1.660085 1.795376 1.944189 2.121552 2.329272 2.567558 2.865694
2025-12-21 1.581107 1.733904 1.906299 2.117796 2.374026 2.679620 3.080168
2025-12-28 1.529600 1.698652 1.893870 2.139940 2.447912 2.829656 3.354548
2026-01-04 1.455960 1.631879 1.838556 2.104455 2.445719 2.881892 3.505709
2026-01-11 1.412277 1.597623 1.819197 2.110308 2.493902 3.000568 3.757564
2026-01-18 1.381073 1.576142 1.813262 2.131248 2.561393 3.148966 4.068411
2026-01-25 1.337218 1.536381 1.781601 2.115745 2.577260 3.225151 4.279172
2026-02-01 1.289999 1.490058 1.738916 2.082421 2.565034 3.258190 4.424162
2026-02-08 1.231299 1.426854 1.671627 2.012174 2.495715 3.200236 4.410997
2026-02-15 1.192700 1.387919 1.634255 1.980542 2.479152 3.219713 4.530205
2026-02-22 1.162511 1.360861 1.614054 1.975338 2.506280 3.317735 4.819525
2026-03-01 1.126725 1.325407 1.581444 1.951351 2.504417 3.370744 5.039294
2026-03-08 1.085163 1.281020 1.535166 1.905698 2.466820 3.362213 5.140784
2026-03-15 1.064467 1.263445 1.524418 1.910363 2.506778 3.487406 5.538007
2026-03-22 1.051580 1.255668 1.526545 1.933597 2.577342 3.673522 6.114351
2026-03-29 1.022736 1.225349 1.496074 1.906621 2.564612 3.708418 6.355172
2026-04-05 1.006630 1.211720 1.488328 1.913215 2.607267 3.850500 6.899064
2026-04-12 0.995302 1.204138 1.488658 1.931860 2.671258 4.041593 7.642082
2026-04-19 0.975148 1.183679 1.469689 1.919398 2.680430 4.124456 8.112883
2026-04-26 0.951513 1.157704 1.441848 1.891614 2.660599 4.145045 8.402836
2026-05-03 0.919666 1.119532 1.395245 1.832307 2.581271 4.032624 8.231284